This Homebuilding Stock Could Be Ripe For a Short Squeeze – Schaeffers Research (blog)

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Hurricane Irma has come and gone, leaving a trail of destruction in its wake. While insurance and restaurant stocks were on Wall Street’s radar last week, homebuilding stocks are now focus as the cleanup effort gets underway. While options bulls have blasted home improvement giant Home Depot of late, AV Homes Inc (NASDAQ:AVHI) is an under-the-radar Florida homebuilder that could be be putting the squeeze on short sellers.

On Tuesday, AV Homes stock posted its largest one-day percentage gain since July 24, surging 4.8%. The stock is now up almost 13% from its Aug. 23 annual low of $14.65, trading above its 320-day moving average — a trendline that served as resistance in early August, but could now be switching to a more supportive role. Below here is the $15.80 region, home to AVHI’s year-to-date breakeven mark.

AVHI’s rebound could get an assist, should some of the weaker bearish hands start to cover. Although short interest decreased 8% during the last reporting period, the 1.3 million shares still sold short represent nearly 12% of the AVHI’s total available float. Furthermore, at AVHI’s average daily trading volume, it would take over 11 days for shorts to fully cover their positions. This represents a major source of buying power that could provide tailwinds for the stock.

Analyst sentiment could also help nudge AVHI higher, as just two brokerages cover the stock  — and both rate it a tepid “hold.” This indicates that there is room for upgrades and/or positive initiations, should the stock extend its Irma-related bounce.

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